Bill Gates accuses the tech industry of knowingly downplaying AI's risks because too much money is at stake.
https://www.gatesnotes.com/a-turbulent-ai-era-and-critical-choices-to-make
log in to comment.
https://www.gatesnotes.com/a-turbulent-ai-era-and-critical-choices-to-make
log in to comment.
“AI for the first time can replace or exceed human cognition.” 🤣
No.
Maybe if you chose one tiny sliver of human cognition like memory and isolate it, but cognition overall? No chance. LLM tech is a database inference machine. Some uses? Yes. 1/3 of the worlds stock market wealth invested in it? Dumb.
Not many years ago, Bill Gates said that climate change was the most important issue facing the world.
I guess that’s solved now, because he now says how we handle AI use and access has taken the mantle as the most important issue the world’s facing.
This is just more AI cooker stuff from a billionaire octagonarian.
But if we’re playing that game then computers exceeded human cognition 80 years ago when ENIAC replaced human computers at doing arithmetic. If you count mechanical computers then it’s 1000 years ago when mechanical tools were used to perform astronomy calculations.
Generative AI hasn’t produced anything that exceeds human capability in any field. It’s probably impossible for it to exceed human capability, since it’s a statistical model of human output.
Chess is an early and canonical example of ai doing exactly that. The speed at which it can complete human-like tasks far exceeds human capability. It’s hard to talk about the enormous problems with ai if we accept it as an undifferentiated point in the march of technological progress.
I think (comically) Gates uses the word “cognition” to mean, the business output of an individual white collar worker. In that realm, today, ais are faster, more durable, more scalable, more easily put into parallel than humans, they work around the clock and they’re cheaper.
I don’t like ai. Still, I think Gates is absolutely right that ai is going to swing a wrecking ball into white collar work and there’s no government or industry plan to deal with the human impacts of that.
I hear you, but i disagree - at least based on what we know presently. If you look at US unemployment stats (which are a bit fucked from Covid), they jump in 2023 a little, but have since been decreasing each year since (employment is increasing). You can argue it’s because the Trump admin is cooking the books in hwo they report unemployment, but an almost identical trend is seen in the UK stats… Canada… Germany… Italy (barely even an AI blip in their stats)…
Are they all cooking the books?
If you believe the AI hype crew, AI is “improving in leaps and bounds weekly”, but that simply doesn’t align with reality.
Yeah, LLM AIs (the predominant AI tech in the AI© industry) have increased in quality as the sum total of all earth’s investor-class capital is poured into them… But that isn’t being translated in significant real world applications and job losses.
Companies tried (and are trying) AI©, and have mostly found it just isn’t any better or more reliable than a human in the vast majority of real world applications.
If you are a white collar worker and you only make a few minor mistakes now and then - boss doesn’t care, you’re human. On the other hand if you’re a white collar worker and you make only a couple mistakes now and then but wow they are batshit crazy ones that defy your coworkers attempts to understand them - you’re fired. That’s AI.
I think there’s a reasonable, rational position somewhere between the ai hype cringelords on the one hand, and the egotistical humanists on the other who refuse to believe that ai could ever match human output. I think it’s hard to look at what has happened over the past 5 years and have any confidence that ai will be constrained to some trivial, manageable ceiling.
I understand the skepticism people have around claims of the transformative power of ai. Some of those claims are just companies trumpeting their own products, and these breathless tech articles about how this or that tool is going to change everything, it’s tiring. But I think that can numb us to the signs that something transformative and irrevocable is actually happening.
Even if we assume that current ai is at its limit of progress (it isn’t), if an agent costs $10k/year and works 24 hours per day, there is a far greater tolerance for mistakes than a worker who costs $50k and wants vacations and benefits, and sleep. Gates makes this point, and I think it’s strong.
Layoffs due to ai replacing human work are happening in the tech sector already, which I think is arguably a canary in the coal mine situation.
You’re begging the question.
How so?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Begging_the_question
Who is so disconnected from reality he doesn’t know the cost of groceries.
Oh he knows them. To him it is basically zero.
His net worth is 100.000.000.000$. The median persons net worth peaks at about 400.000$.
So in comparison what buying Groceries for the average person is when spending 100$; for him is equivalent to the average persons buying groceries spending 0,04¢.
He would have to go shopping 25 times to spend the equivalent of a cent.
Gates might not be the best spokesman for this. It’s great he’s doing something other than raping children with epstein, but fuck this guy.
Probably raping children with someone else now, this behaviour wouldn’t have stopped with Epstein.
Epstein wouldn’t have “commited suicide”, unless they had a replacement children pimp.
So, the day came when I agree on something with that kiddy fiddler.
He’s worried because a lot of money is at stake not because he’s worried about our health and safety.
Pedophile says what?
The industry that he’s a huge part of?
and that he carries a lot of weight in as the chairperson of one of the main actors?
Is he also trying to market a model “too dangerous for the public” because it’s just too damn good at finding bugs - like Anthropic?
Gates is an irresponsible narcissistic asshole bit he’s right here. Not that its hard yo be right here, its a very obvious observation
Shut up pedo, tell us when you plan to fuck yourself or something worthwhile.
Him being evil doesn’t preclude him being right (in this case). By all means, shoot the messenger, but listen to the message.
Yes but there’s better voices to listen to, ed zitron for one. This fuck can please derezze themselves.
Other, better people have said this before.
Would have made more sense.
Every news article about bill gates should be prefaced by Jeffrey Epstein associate Billiam Gates
Gates: WILL SOMEBODY PLEASE THINK OF THE CHILDREN?